Archive for January, 2012

Prediction: Obama will be re-elected in November

I derive a certain perverse pleasure in trying to predict certain future events and in waiting to see if they come true. So here goes…drum roll: Barack Obama will get re-elected in November. Yes, despite an approval rating of only 44%,  Obama will be re-elected for the simple fact that, in the “poker game” of politics, the Republicans have too weak a hand to seriously challenge him.  Moreover, with the economy showing some signs of life, voters will be apt to stick to the status quo, even with a relatively unpopular incumbent, rather than gamble on someone else behind the helm. (Remember when the unpopular George Bush ran for re-election: too many voters were skittish about changing leadership in the middle of war in Iraq.)

Secondly, the two most likely contenders for the Republican ticket, Romney and Gingrich have “disqualified” themselves from being viable threats to Obama in the long run. Romney is a mega-rich patrician, who, apparently has no problem paying only 15% in income taxes. Too many struggling middle-class Americans will take issue with that; moreover, many will view Romney as too wealthy to truly identify with majority middle-class. (Remember how Senator John Kerry lost to the unpopular Bush largely because too many American’s regarded him as an out-of-touch blueblood.)

Additionally, Romney will not pass the test of close scrutiny, and the closer to the white house, the closer that scrutiny will be. For one, his tendency to flip-flop of certain key issues will undermine his bid for the presidency. Secondly, it will become increasingly clear that Romney’s religious convictions will guide his policy making, despite his many sound bites to the contrary. After all, a man who went overseas as a youth to proselytize others to his religion (Romney’s Mormon mission in France), will hardly separate church from state in his decision making, despite trying to mask some of his core religious beliefs from the public eye. In reality, I believe there is no way Romney would ever be pro-choice, and he has even admitted that he does not support same-sex marriage. Moreover, many will believe (as do I)  that Romney would say or do almost anything to become president, but once in office…

Gingrich has “disqualified” himself by his very public and brazen statement that Obama’s vetoing of the  Keystone XL pipeline was a  “stunningly stupid thing to do,” which is akin to calling Obama “stupid.” Not only is such a public invective unworthy of a presidential candidate, it reveals Gingrich’s penchant for obfuscating key facts: namely, that the Alberta tar sands oil, arguably the dirtiest source of fuel on the planet, would pose a serious environmental hazard and would contribute considerably to global warming. Gingrich goes further  stating that Obama vetoed the pipeline “to appease a group of left-wing environmentalists in San Francisco,” a condescending way of describing those who are concerned about the environment. Considering the very real threat of global warming, about which clearly Gingrich is not concerned, we had all better be “environmentalists,” if we are to have a sustainable planet for our offspring. (See my article: “Global Warming and the Human Genetic Flaw”).

Additionally, despite his tough, self-assured rhetoric, too many voters will question Gingrich’s ethics both in his private and public life, and his resignation from the House of Representatives will continue to haunt him as well as his association with Fanny Mac.

Finally, many war-weary Americans will surmise that war with Iran is more likely with Romney, Gingrich, or Santorum as president, and some will stick with Obama for that reason alone, especially those who have lost someone in Iraq or Afghanistan.

With the clear exception of Ron Paul – a refreshing and stark contrast from Romney, Gingrich, and Santorum – I dare say: Never  has the Republican party had such an unsuitable and ethically questionable (and downright scary) assortment of prospective presidential candidates. I predict enough voters will realize this, and Obama will be re-elected with a clear majority – although probably not by a landslide.

Article first published as Prediction: Obama will be re-elected in November on Technorati.

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My Blog about Blogging

I think it high time I wrote a blog about blogging. I have been quite remiss of late in writing any blogs, and will henceforth get back on track. It’s frustrating, though, that the only responses I get are pure SPAM as opposed to a few precious nuggets of  honest, intelligent feedback. Fortunately, I have an excellent SPAM filter that catches virtually all of it. In short, if you respond to this with a generic “Love your post. I can see why people read your blogs,” or “You raise some very interesting points here,” etc.,  your post will easily be identified by my SPAM filter, especially if your email address is something like this: joeblow@viagraforyou.com. So spammers, please don’t bother.

Quickly reviewing some of the SPAM caught by my SPAM filter, I see that Viagra, Prozac, Zoloft, etc. seem to head the list. I surmise that there must be a vast market for depressed, anxiety prone, impotent men. Well, if I were impotent, I would certainly be depressed. The fact is I am depressed by all of the depressing SPAM that would appear on my blog comments, if it weren’t for my marvelously effective SPAM filter. (It looks like everyone is out to make a buck and that I’m just a number in the vast galaxy of cyberspace.)

SPAM notwithstanding, how wonderful it is to be living in a time when everyone can be an author, have a voice and be heard throughout the world, to inspire, and, yes, maybe even make a slight difference. The beauty -to state the obvious- of publishing online is that there are no agents to be had and no rejection notices. However, many a good blog gets diluted in the ever expanding blogosphere by ever increasing multitudes of bloggers, all wishing to be “heard,” and none wishing to be spammed.

Well, I would love nothing more than for someone to post a valid “non-spammy,” non-automated response to my blog about blogging that clearly reveals that it has been read and properly digested. I would love nothing more than to receive a response in the vein of: “I liked your post. I can relate: I get spammed all the time, and receive few genuine answers.” After all, I believe that I do have a few good things to offer: humor, information, creative reflection, and some interesting facts. My specialty is sex and the human condition, and I hope that at least a handful of fellow Internauts, adrift in the vast regions of cyberspace, do take the time to check out a few of my posts and legitimately comment on them. And indeed,  my website (dedicated to human sexuality) as a whole.

In any event, I shall submit my blog posts much more regularly, for what it’s worth; and, like casting the proverbial message in a bottle, I shall hope that I get some genuine feedback.

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